National Hurricane Center: Invest 92L could develop into tropical depression next week

Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are monitoring a tropical wave, currently designated as Invest Area 92L, that could form into a tropical depression by next week.

According to the NHC's 2 p.m. Saturday update, a tropical wave south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and will encounter environmental conditions conducive for development. The organization's tropical weather outlook gives it a 50 percent chance to develop over the next 48 hours and 70 percent over the next seven days as it continues to move west over the Atlantic Ocean.

What's an invest, anyway? We explain and break down the weather forecaster's term

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Excessive rainfall forecast

Here's the latest update from the NHC as of 2 p.m. Saturday, June 17:

What's out there and where are they?

  • Invest 92L: A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is currently producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

  • Tropical wave 2: In the central Atlantic extending along 40W from 03N to 11N and moving west at 12-17 mph.

  • Tropical wave 3: Also in the central Atlantic extending along 55W near 02N to 10N, moving west at 12-17 mph.

  • Tropical wave 4: In the Caribbean and mostly inland over Colombia along 76W from 12N southward, moving west at 20-23 mph.

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How likely are they to strengthen?

Environmental conditions appear conducive for for Invest Area 92L to develop further, and forecasters say a tropical depression is likely to form in the early to middle part of next week as the system continues to move west across the Atlantic at 15-20 mph.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours: medium, 50 percent.

  • Formation chance through seven days: high, 70 percent.

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Who is likely to be impacted?

It's too early to determine if there will be any impact to the U.S. from Invest 92L, but all residents in the Southeast should be prepared.

Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics.

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When is the Atlantic hurricane season?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

Hurricane season's ultimate peak is Sept. 10 but the season goes through Nov. 30. Credit: NOAA
Hurricane season's ultimate peak is Sept. 10 but the season goes through Nov. 30. Credit: NOAA

The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

Tropical forecast over the next seven days

Excessive rainfall forecast

What's out there?

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.

What's next?

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This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: Tropics update: NHC says wave could become tropical depression