National Hurricane Center watching 2 disturbances, both could become tropical depressions
► Your guide to preparing for the 2022 hurricane season in Florida
Will August be able to stave off a named storm for two more days, even as the National Hurricane Center watches two disturbances with the potential of becoming tropical depressions this week?
If so, August 2022 will join 1961 and 1997 as years with no tropical storms or hurricanes in the Atlantic basin.
"We’re only a few days away from this month becoming the third August ever to not have a named tropical system in the Atlantic basin," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Brandon Buckingham.
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The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring two tropical waves in the Atlantic, down from four Monday.
The wave closest to the U.S. — Invest 91L — has an 80 percent chance for development over the next five days and is expected to become a tropical depression this week.
Chances have picked up for development of another system, located off the coast of Africa, which also could strengthen into a tropical depression this week.
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Here's the latest update from the NHC as of 8 a.m. Aug. 30:
What's out there and where are they?
Invest 91L: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Tropical wave 1: A tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure is located just off the west coast of Africa.
How likely are they to strengthen?
Invest 91L:Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, some gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week.
The disturbance is forecast to move slowly toward the west and then west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward Islands.
Formation chance through 48 hours: medium, 50 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days: high, 80 percent.
Tropical wave 1: Some gradual development is possible, and the system could become a short-lived tropical depression over the far eastern Atlantic during the next few days.
By late this week, the disturbance is forecast to move over cooler waters and further development is not expected. Regardless of development, the system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Cabo Verde Islands by Wednesday.
Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 20 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days: medium, 40 percent
Who is likely to be impacted?
It's too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to the U.S. from the tropical waves.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared during what's expected to be an active hurricane season.
Colorado State University's 2-week forecast for Aug. 18-31
CSU has issued 2-week Atlantic #hurricane forecast (Aug. 18-31) and gives highest odds for near-normal activity (70%) with below-normal & above-normal both given 15% chances. Tropical cyclone activity is likely to increase later in the period:https://t.co/8GXmlarsze pic.twitter.com/ID9ZEHYIfG
— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) August 18, 2022
Meteorologists forecast normal hurricane activity over the next two weeks, with a 15% chance of above-normal activity and a 15% chance of below-normal activity.
Tropical cyclone activity is likely to increase later in the period.
When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
When is the peak of hurricane season?
Although the season has gotten off to a quiet start, the peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
Weather watches and warnings issued for your area
If you can't see any local weather warnings here, you'll need to open this story in a web browser.
Tropical forecast for the next five days
See the National Hurricane Center's five-day graphical tropical weather outlook below.
Excessive rainfall forecast
What's out there?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.
What's next?
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This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: Tropics watch: 2 tropical depressions could form this week
