Beryl expected to be hurricane near landfall in Texas, swells may cause rip currents
Days after landfall, the National Hurricane Center continued issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl, located over the southern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical storm warnings are now in place in southern Texas ahead of Beryl, which is expected to be a hurricane near landfall.
Other than Beryl, as of 5 p.m. Saturday, July 6, tropical cyclone formation was not expected during the next 7 days.
Here's the latest update from the NHC as of 5 p.m. Saturday, July 6:
Spaghetti models: Where will Hurricane Beryl go next?
Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.
How could Hurricane Beryl affect Florida?
Large swells generated by Beryl are expected to reach much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. — including all of Florida's West Coast and Panhandle. The swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Watches, warnings issued across Florida
Hurricane Beryl: What you need to know
Location: 385 miles southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas
Maximum sustained winds: 60 mph
Movement: northwest at 13 mph
Minimum central pressure: 997 mb
Next advisory: 8 p.m.
Watches and warnings issued for Tropical Storm Beryl
Hurricane warning: A hurricane warning is in effect for the following:
The Texas coast from Baffin Bay northward to Sargent
A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
Hurricane watch: A hurricane watch is in effect for the following:
The Texas coast from south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande
The Texas coast north of Sargent to San Luis Pass
A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
Tropical storm warning: A tropical storm warning is in effect for the following:
The Texas coast south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande River
The Texas coast north of Sargent to High Island
The northeastern coast of mainland Mexico from Barra el Mezquital to the mouth of the Rio Grande River
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
Storm surge warning: A storm surge warning is in effect for the following:
North entrance of the Padre Island National Seashore to San Luis Pass, including Corpus Christi Bay and Matagorda Bay
A storm surge warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
Storm surge watch: A storm surge watch is in effect for the following:
The Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande River northward to north entrance of Padre Island National Seashore
San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass, including Galveston Bay
A storm surge watch means there is a possibility of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
Hurricane Beryl: Here's latest information on strength, forecast path
At 5 p.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was 385 miles southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas with maximum sustained winds at 60 mph. Beryl was moving toward the northwest near 13 mph, and this motion should continue through Sunday.
A turn to the north-northwest is expected Sunday night with a turn to the north Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will approach the Texas coast Sunday and Sunday night and then make landfall on the Texas coast Monday.
Strengthening is expected, and Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane again Sunday or Sunday night before it reaches the Texas coast.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles from the center.
How strong is Tropical Storm Beryl and where is it going?
Here's how strong Beryl is expected to get:
Currently: 60 mph
12 hours: 65 mph
24 hours: 75 mph
36 hours: 85 mph
48 hours: 70 mph, inland
60 hours: 40 mph, inland
72 hours: 30 mph, inland
96 hours: 25 mph, post-tropical, inland
120 hours: 25 mph, post-tropical/inland
Key messages from the National Hurricane Center: What you need to know about Hurricane Beryl
There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation late Sunday night and Monday along the coast of Texas from the north entrance of Padre Island National Seashore to San Luis Pass. Residents in that area should follow any advice given by local officials and fellow evacuation orders.
Beryl is forecast to bring damaging hurricane-force winds to portions of the lower and middle Texas coast late Sunday into Monday. A hurricane warning is now in place from Baffin Bay to Sargent. Preparations should be rushed to completion before tropical storm conditions begin late Sunday.
Flash and urban flooding, some of which may be locally considerable, is likely across portions of the Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas beginning late Sunday through the middle of next week. River flooding is also possible.
Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through the weekend across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed warning flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials before venturing into the water.
What impact could Hurricane Beryl have and what areas could be affected?
What is storm surge? Graphics explain the deadly weather event
Wind: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area by early Monday. Winds are first expected to reach tropical storm strength by late Sunday, making outdoor preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas in Texas by early Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning by late Sunday or Sunday night.
Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area in Texas and northeastern Mexico by Sunday or Sunday night.
Storm surge: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide.
Mesquite Bay, Texas, to Sargent, Texas: 4 to 6 feet
Matagorda Bay: 4 to 6 feet
Sargent, Texas, to San Luis Pass, Texas: 3 to 5 feet
North entrance of Padre Island National Seashore, Texas to Mesquite Bay: 3 to 5 feet
Corpus Christi Bay: 3 to 5 feet
Mouth of the Rio Grande, Texas, to north entrance of Padre Island National Seashore: 2 to 4 feet
San Luis Pass, Texas, to Sabine Pass, Texas: 2 to 4 feet
Galveston Bay: 2 to 4 feet
Sabine Pass, Texas, to Galveston Bay, Louisiana: 1 to 3 feet
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
Rainfall: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas beginning late Sunday through the middle of next week. This rainfall is likely to produce flash floods and urban flooding, some of which may be locally considerable. Minor to isolated moderate river flooding is also possible.
Tornadoes: A few tornadoes could occur along the Texas coast Sunday afternoon and Sunday night.
Surf: Large swells generated by Beryl are currently impacting portions of the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. The swells are expected to reach eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. shortly. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
When is the peak of hurricane season?
The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
National Hurricane Center map: What are forecasters watching now?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:
Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city
Excessive rainfall forecast
What's next?
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This article originally appeared on Florida Today: Where is Hurricane Beryl: track forecast, path before Texas landfall
