ECU poll shows Trump leading Harris by 1 point in NC; Stein leading Robinson by 6 points

Matthew Sockol
·2 min read
7

RALEIGH, N.C. (WNCN) — Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump remain locked in a tight race for North Carolina, while Democratic state Attorney General Josh Stein has taken a noticeable lead against Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robison in the gubernatorial election, according to the latest poll from East Carolina University.

The new ECU poll, conducted Aug. 26-28, shows Trump leading Harris 48% to 47%, with 3% undecided and 2% planning to support another candidate. It also shows Stein leading Robinson 47% to 41%, with 11% undecided and 2% supporting another candidate. Stein previously only led Robinson by one point, 44% to 43%, in ECU’s June poll.

Trump has 1-point edge over Harris in North Carolina, poll data shows

Both Democrats have leads among independents, women, and Black voters, while both Republicans have a lead among white voters in the new ECU poll. Harris leads Trump among independents 47% to 37%, among women 50% to 45%, and among Black voters 86% to 6%; Stein’s lead over Robinson is stronger among independents at 50% to 32% and among women at 50% to 36%, while less dominant, but still significant among Black voters at 81% to 9%. Trump leads Harris among white voters 64% to 33%, a stronger margin than Robinson’s 52% to 36% lead over Stein.

Inflation and/or the overall cost of living remains the most important issues for voters at 30%, although this marks a decrease from the 42% who said it was the most important issue in the last ECU poll. 22% identified the economy in general as the most important issue, 14% identified abortion, 13% identified border security, 4% identified affordability of health care, 3% identified climate change and/or the environment, and 3% identified violent crime and/or public safety.

Mark Robinson blitzes the state as polls show Josh Stein leading NC governor’s race

North Carolina is among the states expected to decide the 2024 presidential election. Both the Harris-Walz and Trump-Vance campaigns have made frequent stops in the Tar Heel State, with Trump scheduled to address the Fraternal Order of Police in Charlotte on Friday, a week after Harris’ running mate, Minnesota governor Tim Walz, met with campaign staffers in Raleigh.

A Democratic presidential candidate has not won North Carolina since Barack Obama in 2008. Trump won North Carolina by 1.35% in 2020, the smallest margin among the states he carried.

A Republican has not won the North Carolina governor’s office since Pat McCrory in 2012. The race between Stein and Robinson is expected to set fundraising records.

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