Forecasters tracking potential storm in the Atlantic. It could approach Florida

The National Hurricane Center is eyeing a tropical wave in the mid-Atlantic that has the potential to strengthen into a tropical storm this week — and potentially affect Florida.

As of Tuesday morning, the hurricane center has bumped up the chance the disturbance could form into a depression to 60% over the next seven days. The NHC gave it zero shot at strengthening into a tropical depression in the next two days.

But forecasters said the nascent system would find friendlier conditions in the next two days and could see some development then, while the system is near Puerto Rico, Haiti and the Bahamas.

Because the system is young and not well organized, global computer models are not designed to track its potential path as well as they can track fully formed tropical storms and hurricanes with defined eyes. Despite that, early runs of those models appear to show the system nearing Florida and the Bahamas over the weekend.

“Keep monitoring daily updates because no one should ever say in a situation like this “we’re good, no need to check it anymore”,” wrote Craig Setzer, chief meteorologist for Royal Caribbean Group, on X.