Harris and Trump tied in Michigan a month from election, new poll shows

GRAND RAPIDS, Mich. (WOOD) — With only about a month remaining in the presidential campaign, the candidates are tied in Michigan, a new poll released Thursday morning shows.

The survey conducted by Emerson College Polling, The Hill and WOOD TV8 found that 49% of Michigan voters said they intended to vote for Vice President Kamala Harris and 49% for former President Donald Trump.

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While the candidates have been in a statistical dead heat since Harris entered the race in July, the latest poll showed Trump with two more points than the last Emerson poll conducted in September, while Harris’ percentage remained the same.

“Vice President Harris performs stronger than President Biden among Asian voters and young voters, but underperforms Biden’s 2020 support among other groups,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement.

Among Michigan voters, men are more likely to support Trump (55% to 43%) and women are more likely to support Harris (54% to 44%).

Harris’ support is strong among union households (54% to 44%), while nonunion households generally prefer Trump (50% to 48%).

The poll showed that the economy remained the most important issue to voters, with 51% calling it their top concern. Eleven percent said threats to democracy, 8% affordable housing and 7% health care.

What to know about absentee voting and security in Michigan

Emerson also surveyed voters in six other swing states — Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

“With the race still deadlocked and just under four weeks to go, it remains too close to call in key swing states, all within the margin of error,” Kimball said.

Like Michigan, Wisconsin was an outright tie. In Arizona, the poll had Trump up two points over Harris. In the four other states, there was only a one-point difference between the two candidates.

With Michigan too close to call and 15 electoral votes up for grabs, expect both camps to continue to host rallies and events around the state as the election draws near. In fact, during his last visit to West Michigan last week, Trump’s running mate JD Vance promised frequent visits:

“We’re going to be here every week, probably, me or President Trump, until the election, because this is such an important part of our state,” Vance, a U.S. senator from Ohio, said.

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U.S. SENATE RACE

In the race to represent Michigan in the U.S. Senate, U.S. Rep. Elissa Slotkin, a Democrat, is maintaining her lead over former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers, a Republican. The Emerson poll found 49% said they would vote for Slotkin and 44% for Rogers.

Both candidates gained two points over the September Emerson poll. About 8% remain undecided.

The poll was conducted between Saturday and Tuesday, so it does not take into account any possible effects of the debate between Rogers and Slotkin hosted by WOOD TV8 on Tuesday evening.

4 takeaways from Rogers-Slotkin debate

Rogers and Slotkin are vying to take the seat vacated when U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow, a Democrat, retires at the end of this term after 24 years. The outcome of the election will help determine which party controls the upper chamber.

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