Hurricane Beryl makes landfall in Texas. When will the remnants reach Rochester?
The tropical remnants of Beryl could bring heavy rain and a risk of floods to Western New York on Wednesday.
Arriving in Texas early on Monday morning as a Category 1 hurricane, Beryl is expected to bring damaging winds, storm surge flooding and inland flooding to the south-central United States, according to AccuWeather. The storm system will then move quickly across the country, veering toward the Great Lakes.
Hurrican Beryl remnants arrive Wednesday
The remnants of the storm are expected to reach Western New York by Wednesday morning, with Rochester expecting 2 to 4 inches of rain, based on the current AccuWeather forecast of the storm’s path and rainfall totals.
The arrival of Beryl should also bring a drop in temperatures, with the forecasted high in the mid to upper 70s. A chance of showers and thunderstorms are expected throughout the day, with periods of rain and a possible thunderstorm after 2 a.m., according to the National Weather Service in Buffalo.
More: Hurricane Beryl pummels Texas, at least 1 person killed: Live updates
AccuWeather anticipates impacts from the Beryl remnants by 9 a.m. Wednesday, with 12 mph sustained winds and gusts up to 21 mph. Most of the precipitation from the storm is expected in the early afternoon.
The National Hurricane Center predicts a more westerly track for the storm center, which would arrive at the western shore of Lake Erie by Thursday morning.
Beryl earliest major hurricane in history
Beryl is the first hurricane of the Atlantic season and the first Category 4 hurricane to form in June.
The rapid increase in intensity of the storm, which went from a tropical depression to a hurricane in just 24 hours, is something seen more often in recent years, and is expected to become more frequent due to human-caused climate change, according to NOAA.
Beryl became the earliest Category Five hurricane to form in the Atlantic and just the second in July, beating the previous mark set by Hurricane Emily in 2005.
This is incredibly early for such strong storms, as major hurricanes (Category 3 and stronger) have an average formation date of Sept. 1, according to the National Hurricane Center. The average formation date for the first hurricane in the Atlantic is typically Aug. 11, based on data from 1991 to 2020.
Those actual dates vary season to season, but Beryl was formed far earlier than the typical marks.
— Steve Howe covers weather, climate and lake issues for the Democrat and Chronicle. An RIT graduate, he returned to Rochester after working around the state and in Utah. Share with him at showe@gannett.com.
This article originally appeared on Rochester Democrat and Chronicle: Hurricane Beryl: When will remnants arrive in Rochester?
