New tropical wave pops up on National Hurricane Center map. Quiet didn't last long
After a brief spurt of activity, the tropics were quiet once again, according to the 8 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center.
By 2 p.m., the quiet was over, with a new tropical wave showing up on the NHC outlook map. Several other tropical waves were mentioned by forecasters but don't appear on the outlook map.
"We will be on the lookout for another weak system that could try to develop in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico around the start of July," AccuWeather Lead Tropical Meteorologist Alex DaSilva said.
"But, just like the system from Saturday to Sunday, it will not have much time to develop before being pushed into northeastern Mexico."
When is tropical activity expected to increase?
"After the flurry of tropical activity dies down and the mid-summer lull occurs, AccuWeather meteorologists forecast that the Atlantic will become a hotbed later in the summer and into the fall with a bumper crop of tropical storms and hurricanes."
Every forecast for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is predicting an above-normal season. The average number of named storms in a season is 14. AccuWeather forecasters have gone as far as saying 2024 could break the record of 30 named storms.
The presence of La Niña is a big factor in why every forecasting agency has been predicting a very active Atlantic hurricane season this year.
It doesn't help we're seeing record warm water temperatures in the Atlantic, which also provide fuel for tropical cyclones.
NOAA said May 2024 was the 14th consecutive month of record-warm global ocean temperatures.
Here's the latest update from the NHC as of 2 p.m. June 24:
What is out there and how likely are they to strengthen?
Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A westward-moving tropical wave located a few hundred miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow development once the wave reaches the westernCaribbean late this week.
Formation chance through 48 hours: low, near 0 percent.
Formation chance through 7 days: low, 20 percent.
The National Hurricane Center also is keeping an eye on five tropical waves, including two in the Caribbean Sea.
First wave: A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is moving west at 11 to 17 mph.
Second wave: A tropical wave in the central Atlantic is moving west at 17 mph.
Third wave: An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is moving west at around 17 mph.
Fourth wave: A tropical wave in the central Caribbean is moving west at 11 to 17 mph.
Fifth wave: A tropical wave in the western Caribbean has moved into the eastern Pacific.
Who is likely to be impacted?
It's too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to Florida or the U.S. from the tropical waves.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared. That advice is particularly important for what is expected to be a very active hurricane season.
Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida
When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
When is the peak of hurricane season?
The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
National Hurricane Center map: What are forecasters watching now?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:
Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city
Excessive rainfall forecast
What's next?
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This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: NHC tracking 5 tropical waves, 2 in Caribbean
