SpaceX Starship landings could contaminate water ice on the moon

 A large crater on the grey, cratered surface of the moon.
Credit: Mosaic by NASA, Korea Aerospace Research Institute, Arizona State University

The call from the moon is clear – try and find my water ice.

There is the prospect that oodles of water ice could be lurking in the bottom of south polar craters on the moon.

Forgive the cosmic colloquialism but these super-chilly features – "where the sun don't shine" – are tagged as permanently shadowed regions or PSRs. These south pole cold traps, if indeed laden with tons of water ice, are ideal for renovating that resource into drinkable water, oxygen, even rocket fuel.

It has been projected that a total of between two tons and 60 tons of surface water was charted by NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Lyman Alpha Mapping Project, tempting tonnage right there on the floors of the larger permanently shadowed south polar craters. LAMP's main mission is to find water ice in deep polar craters.

But new research flags a concern.

a light grey crescent shape against a totally black background
a light grey crescent shape against a totally black background

Fouling the goods

Could human landing systems touching down on the moon deliver water from their rocket exhaust plumes, thereby fouling that locked-up, au naturel nectar?

A newly published research paper – "Possible Anthropogenic Contributions to the LAMP-observed Surficial Icy Regolith within Lunar Polar Craters: A Comparison of Apollo and Starship Landings" – takes a look at such consequences.

Published in The Planetary Science Journal, this study is led by Bill Farrell, a senior research scientist in Columbia, Maryland for the Space Science Institute.

a large white rocket sits on the grey, cratered surface of the moon
a large white rocket sits on the grey, cratered surface of the moon

Native water

As pointed out in the research, the SpaceX Starship, picked by NASA to plop down Artemis moonwalkers on the lunar surface, could be rocket ruckus as far as native water ice is concerned.

The Starship landing plume, the paper notes, has the potential, in some cases, to deliver over 10 tons of water to the PSRs.

"This anthropogenic contribution could possibly overlay and mix with the naturally occurring icy regolith at the uppermost surface," the report states. "A possible consequence is that the origin of the intrinsic surficial icy regolith, which is still undetermined, could be lost as it mixes with the extrinsic anthropogenic contribution."

Apollo landings

The research paper also looked at past human activity, such as the Apollo lunar module landings. Could those exhaust plumes from the historic touchdowns churn out some or all of the surficial PSR water now being observed by the LAMP onboard the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter?

The answer is no, the research team found. Those Apollo landings provided only a very small, less than 1% of the surface water in PSRs. That's an inconsequential fraction of water to the intrinsic PSR surficial water, they report.

"However, Starship landings in the south polar region have the potential to add a substantial contribution of water to the PSRs, possibly exceeding the mass of the existing surface frost in the PSRs over as few as four landings," the paper observes.

a man in a suit with blue shirt and tie holds up a piece of paper with the image of a cratered moon surface. He has thin, light hair.
a man in a suit with blue shirt and tie holds up a piece of paper with the image of a cratered moon surface. He has thin, light hair.

An output is that naturally occurring water veneer in PSRs is expected to be altered (obscured/mixed) by Starship landings. "This additional anthropogenic water mass deposited onto the surface of the PSRs could reduce or destroy the ability to understand the origin of the intrinsic, naturally occurring surface icy regolith," suggest the scientists.

Inspect the effect

Farrell and colleagues suggest that existing and future orbital and landed assets be used to inspect the effect of polar landers on the cold traps within PSRs.

One suggestion is to have assets currently in orbit scrutinize the south polar PSRs both before and after Starship polar landings. That collected data could determine the effect of the rocket's landing on the natural, intrinsic surface icy regolith.

Prior to the first Artemis human landing (now scripted as Artemis 3), Starship would make a demonstration landing, and the effects of this landing on the PSRs could be monitored by moon-circling assets.

a small spacecraft in orbit above the moon
a small spacecraft in orbit above the moon

Ground truth

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As for a "ground truth" look, NASA's still to fly Volatiles Investigating Polar Exploration Rover (VIPER) could possibly snoop around to examine the delivery of water by Starship.

VIPER and its array of instruments should be on-duty, pre-Starship touchdown. VIPER could provide a first-ever, on-the-spot PSR "trapping ratio" using the local Starship-released engine chemistry at landing as a known source, the paper states.

The paper "Possible Anthropogenic Contributions to the LAMP-observed Surficial Icy Regolith within Lunar Polar Craters: A Comparison of Apollo and Starship Landings," can be found here.