Tropical wave in Caribbean has small chance to develop, hurricane center says

The National Hurricane Center began tracking a tropical wave in the Caribbean on Tuesday that could develop into the season’s next tropical depression or storm.

The wave located in the southeastern Caribbean Sea and headed to the west at around 25 mph has disorganized showers and thunderstorms, according to the NHC’s 2 a.m. tropical outlook.

“Environmental conditions could support some gradual development once the wave reaches the western Caribbean Sea late this week, and some development is also possible over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the weekend,” forecasters said.

Its path has it potentially forming near the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico in either the Caribbean or in the Gulf of Mexico.

The NHC gives it a 10% chance to form in the next two days and 20% chance to form in the next seven days.

If it spins up into a tropical storm, it would be named Tropical Storm Beryl.

The season’s first named storm, Tropical Storm Alberto, dropped torrents of rain over Mexico last week while also sending storm surge up the Gulf coast along Texas.