Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Thursday Night Football of Week 3. Tonight’s matchup is between the Dolphins and Jaguars with Jacksonville listed as a three-point home favorite with an over/under of 49.
We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate.
We will be producing these articles for Thursday and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content.
Gardner Minshew II - QB - Jacksonville (DK: $11,000 / FD: $16,000)
We are now entering the third week of the season, and Minshew is tied for second in passing touchdowns at six. The small sample size will quell any sort of overreaction, but there’s no denying that Jacksonville’s QB has looked pretty good to begin the season. That was especially true when Minshew went 30-of-45 for 339 yards and three touchdowns (25.46 FP) at Tennessee. Now he’ll face a Miami secondary decimated by injury, and the Dolphins have already given up some big performances to opposing QBs this season (Cam Newton & Josh Allen).
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James Robinson - RB - Jacksonville (DK: $7,800 / FD: $14,000)
I’m not necessarily expecting the Jaguars to run away with this game, but it’s certainly plausible. Instead, it seems like the Jacksonville offense is more predictable while going through Minshew and Robinson. The Dolphins have a myriad of running backs and they like to spread the ball around to their pass-catchers as well. Jacksonville’s volume is more concentrated, especially in the running game. Robinson has seen 17 and 19 touches respectively in the first two games, coming through with 10 and 20 fantasy points. There’s a chance Robinson will see even more volume if the Jags actually have a lead in the second half. The Dolphins have allowed 328 rushing yards through two games this season, so Robinson should be able to post solid numbers once again.
Keelan Cole - WR - Jacksonville (DK: $5,400 FD: $11,000)
Cole is relatively cheaper on DraftKings, so I’m viewing him as a stronger play over there. Take note that fellow Jacksonville WR DJ Chark is questionable tonight, although early signs point to him playing. If Chark is out or limited, then Cole becomes a no-brainer on both DFS sites. Keelan is still a strong play even if Chark plays in full. Cole leads the Jags with 12 targets and 11 receptions, and he’ll be facing the aforementioned banged-up Maimi secondary this evening.
Isaiah Ford - WR - Miami (DK: 2,200 FD: $7,000)
I said it earlier: Miami likes to spread the ball around. Ford has benefitted from that while ranking second on the team in targets (14) and receptions (9). He’s cheap on both daily fantasy sites, but we especially like his relaxed salary on DraftKings. By locking Ford in as a $2,200 FLEX option, it allows you to more room to snag a higher-priced Captain. There should be plenty of targets to go around in this Miami passing attack, especially if the game script holds true. Ford should continue to be involved throughout this contest.
DeVante Parker - WR - Miami (DK: 8,400 FD: $12,000)
It’s difficult to predict which Miami receiver will end up with a rewarding fantasy score. As mentioned in the previous write-up, we like Ford because he’s cheap while seeing respectable targets. However, don’t forget about DeVante Parker in tournaments. He’s clearly the most talented skill player on this team, but a hamstring injury combined with difficult matchups has slowed him down to begin the season. Parker has no injury designation heading into a better matchup at Jacksonville, so this could finally be the spot where he gets right. Parker leads the team with 148 air yards, meaning the upside is certainly there.
Ryan Fitzpatrick (QB - MIA) is more of a tournament pivot off Minshew, who will be very popular tonight. Fitzpatrick isn’t as reliable as Minshew, and the matchup doesn’t look as good for him. However, there’s a chance “Fitz-Magic” will chuck it 40-50 times tonight, which certainly doesn’t hurt his fantasy outlook ... Mike Gesicki (TE - MIA) broke out in a huge way against Buffalo (8-130-1), and the Jags have been kind to tight ends this season, allowing a pair of touchdowns to Jonnu Smith last week.
I really like Laviska Shenault Jr. (WR - JAC) for $7,500 on FanDuel. His $6,600 price tag on DraftKings doesn’t quite mesh as well, and there are cheaper fillers to consider. It’s clear the Jaguars want to get Shenault the ball, as he recorded five rushes (37 yards) and three receptions (35 yards) last week. He also scored a touchdown in the season-opener. As mentioned earlier, this is a strong matchup for the Jags’ offense, and Shenault belongs in your cash lineup on FanDuel.
Chris Conley (WR - JAC) and Chris Thompson (RB - JAC) represent a pair of bargain fillers on DraftKings. It’s difficult to trust Thompson, as he only really sees work in the passing game, and that seems to be dwindling with Robinson getting more targets and Shenault involved as a hybrid running back. That has me turning towards Conley as a cheap pick-up. He saw seven targets last week, which is intriguing, but it could have been a product of game flow. If Chark is out/limited, then Conley should get reliable targets. Otherwise, you are crossing your fingers that he sees the field enough to muster any sort of fantasy contribution.