No. 16 Oklahoma Sooners vs. TCU Horned Frogs: Prediction, point spread, odds, best bet
The No. 16 Oklahoma Sooners play the TCU Horned Frogs in Fort Worth on Saturday, and if you’re looking to do some last-minute betting research, you’re in luck! We’ll give you the latest point spread, money line odds, and over/under number, as well as the information you’ll need to make the smartest bet at BetMGM.
The game starts at 11 a.m. CT and can be seen on ABC.
The Oklahoma Sooners were unsuccessful in their bid to move to 4-0 on the season in last weeks loss to Kansas State. For the second time in three weeks, the Sooners failed to cover the spread.
For the first time this season, the Sooners are favored by fewer than 11 points. Sportsbooks, analysts, and fans are resetting expectations ahead of the Sooners road trip to take on the 3-0 TCU Horned Frogs.
The lines, courtesy of BetMGM
Point spread: Oklahoma minus-6
Money line: Oklahoma minus-250 / TCU plus-200
Over-under: 68.5
Click here to place your bets at BetMGM.
Oklahoma vs. TCU injury report:
Oklahoma
T.D. Roof, LB: Elbow (out for season).
TCU
Quincy Brown, WR: Out Indefinitely (Undisclosed)
Chandler Morris, QB: Questionable (Knee)
Advice and prediction
Oklahoma started the season 3-0 and we’re 2-1 against the spread. They narrowly missed covering the 30-plus spread against Kent State after a sluggish start for the offense. Brent Venables and the Sooners bounced back with a rousing 35-point win over Nebraska before falling short and failing to cover the 11-point spread against Kansas State.
That loss to the Wildcats raised questions about the defense in the Sooners first loss of the season. They gave up more than 500 yards of offense and were gashed in the running game.
Until they prove otherwise, Oklahoma is back in prove-it mode on the defensive side of the ball. I think they bounce back, but this will be the toughest group of skill players they’ve faced thus far. While Oklahoma will score, it wouldn’t be surprising to see TCU put some points on the board. Sonny Dykes has Max Duggan playing at a high level of efficiency, completing 77% of his passes without a turnover on the season.
As mentioned in our staff predictions, this will be an Oklahoma win, but the Horned Frogs will make it close at the end.
Oklahoma minus-6 seems like easy money this week as the Sooners offense will be able to put some points on the board against one of the worst pass defenses in the country. Dillon Gabriel and the Sooners’ pass catchers will find room to work and will score points.
I’d avoid the over/under on this with the difference in defensive performance of the last two weeks. But if you’re set on playing the point total, take the over until the Sooners’ defense proves they’re capable of slowing down a Big 12 offense.
Prediction: 38-31
Record against the spread and O/U in 2022: 5-3.
Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire.
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