PFF releases conference title odds, win totals for every Big 12 football team
PFF has recently gone through each college football conference with their own simulation numbers and analysis to determine the odds and win totals for each football team.
According to PFF, their percentages are derived from 10,000 simulations of each team’s regular-season schedule and a model of how the conference title game and College Football Playoff will play out.
Oklahoma is the overwhelming favorite in regards to the Big 12, while Kansas State may have landed lower than you’d expect. For Texas specifically, they are confident that Steve Sarkisian will take the program back to elite status. It helps that the Longhorns also deploy one of PFF’s top breakout candidates for 2021 in running back Bijan Robinson.
Here’s where each Big 12 team landed in PFF’s rankings:
Kansas Jayhawks
AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki
PFF's Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 0% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 0% Projected Win Total: 3.2
Kansas State Wildcats
Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports
PFF's Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 5% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 1% Projected Win Total: 5.4
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
PFF's Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 5% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 1% Projected Win Total: 5.9
West Virginia Mountaineers
Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports
PFF's Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 8% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 2% Projected Win Total: 6
Baylor Bears
Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports
PFF's Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 7% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 2% Projected Win Total: 5.9
TCU Horned Frogs
Brett Rojo-USA TODAY Sports
PFF's Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 10% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 3% Projected Win Total: 6.8
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Brett Rojo-USA TODAY Sports
PFF's Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 26% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 9% Projected Win Total: 7.9
Texas Longhorns
Jay Janner-USA TODAY NETWORK
PFF's Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 28% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 11% Projected Win Total: 7.8
Iowa State Cyclones
Brian Powers-USA TODAY Sports
PFF's Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 30% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 11% Projected Win Total: 7.7
Oklahoma Sooners
Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
PFF's Conference Championship Appearance Probability: 81% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 60% Projected Win Total: 10.2
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