Poland Ruling Party Sees Support Slip Before Vote, Poll Shows

(Bloomberg) -- Poland’s ruling party saw a slide in support and may struggle to hold on to power after an election expected in October, a poll showed.

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Law & Justice’s backing dropped just over a percentage point to 32%, according to an April 27-30 poll conducted by United Surveys for Wirtualna Polska website. That result would give the nationalist ruling party an estimated 179 lawmakers in the 460-seat lower house, well short of a majority.

The ruling party aims to hold its grip on power for a third term, but has come under pressure as Poles grapple with the highest inflation in a quarter century. The government in Warsaw last month imposed an unexpected ban on food imports from Ukraine in a bid to placate a restive base protesting lower prices because of a grain glut.

Poland Voting Intention: Summary of Recent Polls (Table)

A path to power for Law & Justice involving votes from the right-wing, anti-European Union alliance known as Confederation also looked slim. Confederation would gain 49 seats in the contest, still short of a majority.

The main opposition Civic Platform slipped 1.3 percentage points to stand at 23.8%. A potential left-leaning coalition with three other parties — Poland 2050, the Polish Peasants Party and the Left — would secure a slim majority with 231 seats, the poll showed. United Surveys surveyed 1,000 adults.

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