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Preview Show: Another first-time winner at Las Vegas?

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NASCAR.com's Jonathan Merryman and Alex Weaver preview the NASCAR Cup Series race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Video Transcript

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ALEX WEAVER: Hey, race fans. Welcome to "The Preview Show." I am Alex Weaver. That is Jonathan Merryman, and we're going to break down all things the Las Vegas Motor Speedway, which recently has been a Ford playground. The blue ovals have won four out of the last six races in Vegas. Can they do it again on Sunday?

JONATHAN MERRYMAN: Yeah, Joey Logano's won the last two spring races, I should say. I think Joey Logano is going to be tough to beat. So yes, I think a Ford Mustang is going to be in victory lane.

ALEX WEAVER: Keep an eye on Matt Benedetto, trying to get that 100th win for the Wood Brothers Racing. He's finished at runner up there in the last two races. And then also, you have Brad Keselowski there, in the blue ovals, going for the tie with Jimmie Johnson at most wins at Vegas. So exciting for the Fords there. I know they're hoping to get back in victory lane.

But let's flip the script to the bow ties, because the last winner was Kurt Busch, driving a Chevy, which is also his hometown track out at Vegas, his first ever win there. Can he go back to back?

JONATHAN MERRYMAN: I don't think so. I think the difference between the-- the race there, you know, last fall is going to be, you know, we didn't have the sunshine on the track when that happened. I think that's going to change a few things. He played some pit strategy, stayed out on the racetrack, I believe, towards the end of that race. So not to say it can't happen, because it absolutely can if you play your cards right. That's not a Vegas pun. That's just me talking. I think Joey Logano is going to be really hard to beat, honestly. So I don't think Kurt Busch is going back to victory lane at Vegas, this time around.

ALEX WEAVER: Well, the storyline of 2021, so far, has been first-time winners. And even William Byron with just getting that second career win-- it was Rudy Feagles' first win. So I guess that kind of counts in the Nascar Cup Series. But can a first time winner do it again? Or are you looking, now, for those usual suspects to show up?

JONATHAN MERRYMAN: You know, I think we've got one mile and a half under our belt. I think now is the time where these elite level teams are going to start inching away from the field. Now, you know, with just one race under your belt, you can still have a lot happen. I think the playing field is still fairly level. So yes, we could see it. But I just don't see it happening. That 22 car-- I know I've talked to it ad nauseum in this show-- has such a good notebook for the spring race in Las Vegas. So I think that's a secret weapon. And based off that, no. We will not have a first time winner in the Cup Series at Vegas.

ALEX WEAVER: Well, let's keep the Vegas puns going, because I think you just showed your hand a little bit in this show. Who are you picking to win at Vegas?

JONATHAN MERRYMAN: Yeah, I think, you know, you've got to-- you've got to ride the-- the hot horse there. It's-- it's going to have to, you know-- everything's going to go through Joey Logano. So the 22 is my lock.

ALEX WEAVER: Well, I think the number 4 is going to go through Joey Logano and get it into victory lane and show up. I know him and Rodney Childers has been a-- a little while since they have been in victory lane. So I'm looking at the 4.

JONATHAN MERRYMAN: Busch Pole sitter, so he's going to have track position if he can maintain that throughout the day. Obviously, if you maintain the first spot, you're going to win the race. But that's going to be key for them. They actually can do it, so that's not a bad pick.

ALEX WEAVER: Yeah, from P1 to P1. Make sure you tune into the fourth race of the NASCAR Cup Series season. We're racing out in Sin City at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, 3:30 on Sunday, on Fox. You don't want to miss it, and we'll see you right back here next week on "The Preview Show."

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