Will it be a rainy turkey day in Florida next week? So far signs point to no, although we will see a temperature drop into fall numbers by Thanksgiving. However, storm systems moving into the midwest U.S. and an area of high pressure coming behind that cold front on the east coast may cause some delays for holiday travelers.
And there will be a lot of them. AAA predicts that 55.4 million travelers will hit the roads or skies to travel 50 miles or more from home over the Thanksgiving holiday period, an increase of 2.3% over 2022 and the third-highest Thanksgiving forecast in the 23 years AAA has been tracking holiday travel. 49.1 million Americans are expected to be driving, AAA said, with 4.7 million flying to their destinations and 1.55 million traveling by bus. train or cruise. Depending on where they're traveling, they may see heavy rain, high winds and even snow.
"Ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday, a soaking storm can track from the central U.S. toward the East, complicating travel plans," said AccuWeather meteorologist Alyssa Glenny. "However, conditions across the Northeast early in the week will be on the calmer side by comparison."
A pair of storm systems in the middle of the U.S. will affect states from Canada to the Gulf of Mexico, bringing heavy rains and gusty winds across most of the Mississippi, Tennessee and Ohio valleys on Monday and Monday night, AccuWeather said. Another storm from Canada will hit the upper Midwest and Great Lakes Monday with rain and possibly snow and then may merge with the other storms to drop rain across the eastern U.S. to the coast, so travelers should pay attention to flight changes and cancellations.
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Will it rain on Thanksgiving in Florida?
There's probably more rain coming next week, but it should be clear by Thursday, forecasters said. NOAA's latest 6-10 day outlook gives a 50-60% chance of above-normal precipitation next week across most of the state thanks to a trough over the eastern U.S., with a 40-50% chance of above-normal precipitation in the Panhandle.
Will it be hot on Thanksgiving in Florida?
Because we're Florida, we're all over the map. Temperatures in the Panhandle are expected to be below average with temperatures in the mid-70s dropping down into the low 60s with overnight lows in the high 30s and low 40s by Wednesday, according to AccuWeather.
North Florida can expect temps in the high 70s and low 80s until the cold front brings Wednesday overnight lows in the high 40s and a Thanksgiving in the low 60s.
Central Florida will be running a bit warmer, with temperatures in the mid-70s to low 80s until the Wednesday overnight drop leading to high 60s temps on Thursday, AccuWeather said.
Southwest Florida also will drop into the high 60s for Thanksgiving but not before more 80+-degree days in the beginning of the week, and then a rise back into the mid-to-high 70s for the weekend.
And South Florida will see a mid-70s Thanksgiving, with temps in the low 80s in the beginning of the week and the high 70s Friday and Saturday.
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What does the Farmers Almanac predict for Thanksgiving weather in Florida?
According to the Almanac, it'll be time to "cuddle up with some hot apple cider!" Conditions for the Southeast, including Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, and Florida, are expected to be fair but cold. "Cold" being relative for the Sunshine State, of course.
The Almanac has predicted a return to cooler weather in its 2023-2024 winter forecast, with a greater chance of rain for the southeast.
"The Southeast and Florida will see a wetter-than-normal winter, with average winter temperatures overall, but a few frosts may send many shivers to snowbirds trying to avoid the cold and snow back home," the Farmers' Almanac predicted.
The Old Farmers' Almanac, a competitor, predicts warm weather and scattered showers for Nov. 23-30.
What did the Farmers' Almanac predict for Thanksgiving weather around the country?
If you'll be traveling for the holidays, here's what you can expect to run into, according to the Farmers' Almanac:
Northeast & New England: New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Washington D.C. should see "mostly fair but cold weather."
Great Lakes, Ohio Valley & Midwest: Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Kentucky, Illinois, and Wisconsin may see rain and possibly snow beforehand but see a "mostly fair but cold Thanksgiving."
North Central: Missouri, Iowa, Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Colorado, Wyoming, and Montana may get hit with light snow in the Rockies before the holiday, followed by a heavy snowfall in the Nebraska and Dakotas area.
South Central: Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas, and New Mexico should see a "clear and cold" holiday, with some stormy weather from the west.
Northwest: Washington, Oregon, and Idaho may see "rain and wet snow."
Southwest: California, Nevada, Utah, and Arizona may be getting a "rainy Thanksgiving," the Almanac said.
This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: Thanksgiving weather in Florida: Wet early week expected, cool holiday