Ron Johnson, Mandela Barnes locked in a race too close to call in Wisconsin's U.S. Senate race

While Ron Johnson performed worse in the Milwaukee suburbs than in 2016, he won re-election this fall in part because he improved upon his rural vote. He won the 1,200 towns by 29 points, a number larger than during any election involving Donald Trump or Scott Walker.
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UPDATE: Republican incumbent Ron Johnson defeated Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes to earn a third term in the U.S. Senate. Read more here.

Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes were locked in a race that was too close to call early Wednesday.

With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% of the vote to 49.5% for Barnes, a difference of around 27,000 votes.

"We've looked very closely at the numbers," Johnson told supporters in Neenah. "We feel confident there's no way they can make up the gap."

Johnson said he was not going to declare victory until all the numbers were in but said, "I want to give you folks a sense that this race is over."

Johnson added that he expected to declare victory later in the morning.

Barnes campaign waits to make sure 'every vote is counted'

Barnes campaign spokeswoman Maddy McDaniel said in a statement: “We always knew this race would be incredibly close. No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard.”

More:2022 Wisconsin Election Results

The road to Election Day was dramatic, leading to a clash between the conservative 67-year-old Johnson from Oshkosh and the liberal 35-year-old Barnes from Milwaukee.

It began with Johnson publicly weighing for months whether to make the race, a move that would in effect see him breaking a pledge he had made back in 2016 to serve only two terms. Johnson, who often refers to himself as a "citizen legislator," had emerged from the Tea Party movement and twice defeated Democrat Russ Feingold, in 2010 and 2016.

But the landscape Johnson was operating in had changed dramatically over the course of the past several years. Republicans were swept from state offices in 2018, meaning Johnson had become the titular head of the party. Former President Donald Trump's loss in 2020 further cemented Johnson's status as a state party leader and also stoked his determination to oppose President Joe Biden's policy agenda.

In January 2022, Johnson made his move, joining the race as he explained: "I believe America is in peril. Much as I'd like to ease into a quiet retirement, I don't feel I should."

Even as Democrats faced stiff political headwinds of their own, so did Johnson. as he became a lightning rod on key national issues, from the election to the insurrection to promoting early, unproven treatments for COVID-19. Even before they had their candidate, Democrats and their allies pounded Johnson in ads, claiming he was out for himself and his large donors, charges he denied.

Large primary field for Democrats

Democrats were eager to take Johnson on and a large primary field assembled, including Barnes, state Treasurer Sarah Godlewski, Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry and Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson.

From the start, Barnes was the front-runner. He was running on his biography as the son of a third-shift auto worker and public school teacher, who understood the problems of the middle class and sought to restore manufacturing in the state.

Barnes was popular with the Democratic base and for months no one could dent his lead, even though Lasry got the closest.

Yet in the closing weeks of the primary race, internal polls broke decisively Barnes' way, and one by one his main rivals dropped out, giving him the nomination.

As he entered the general election, Barnes had strengths with Democrats as well as independents. But many voters — 4 in 10 according to a Marquette poll — did not have an opinion about him and Republicans were eager to fill out a damaging portrait.

In a relentless ad barrage following the primary, Republicans sought to tie Barnes to public concerns over crime. They zeroed in on his support for cashless bail and accused him of being part of the defund police movement, a charge Barnes denied. Some of Barnes' Democratic allies called the ads racist.

Johnson, Barnes attacked each other during debate

After months of sparring at a distance, and a lackluster first debate, the race caught fire in a second debate in mid-October. The candidates clashed on the issues, particularly Social Security and Medicare where Barnes attacked Johnson for wanting to make the programs subject to annual budget deliberations, while Johnson proclaimed he wanted to save them.

They also threw verbal blows at one another, Johnson accusing Barnes of being an actor ... "falsehoods seem to roll off his tongue." Barnes jabbed back that the biggest accomplishment Johnson had so far in business was saying, "I do," claiming the senator married into his business as a plastics manufacturer.

By the closing stages, the candidates let loose and got personal.

"Why would some of our fellow citizens elect somebody who does not like this country, doesn't like Wisconsinites and surely doesn't like law enforcement?" Johnson said during a fiery speech in Dodgeville.

Barnes responded that Johnson is "a person who will stoop to disgusting lows just to win a seat in political office. I mean that is a very telling aspect of a person's character."

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This article originally appeared on Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: Ron Johnson vs Mandela Barnes US Senate race in Wisconsin not decided