Severe weather threat increasing Tuesday and Wednesday
NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — More strong to severe thunderstorms are expected Tuesday through Thursday morning in Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky. After Monday’s severe storms, the severe threat upcoming could be more significant. All modes of severe weather are possible, along with the threat of very heavy rainfall. Also, some severe storms will occur overnight! Please take time to prepare before the storms arrive.
The National Weather Service has confirmed two tornadoes after surveying damage. An EF-1 tornado touched down in Dekalb county at 4:23 PM Monday with winds up to 100 mph. The tornado was on the ground for ten minutes and went over 3 miles.
An EF-0 tornado touched down in Wilson county at 2:55 PM Monday with winds up to 70 mph. The tornado only touched down for one minute and covered half a mile.
Outlook for Tuesday & Wednesday
Now until Thursday morning, the overall weather parameters show the risk of significant severe weather in our region.
The primary storm threat to impact everyone will be heavy rain and lightning. Inside of the stronger to severe storms, the main concern will be wind gusts over 50 mph. Also, large hail and tornadoes are possible.
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The outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center:
Tuesday – 7 AM Wednesday: a Slight Risk (level 2/5) for areas along and north of I-40, and a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) for locations south of I-40. A few severe storms are possible Tuesday afternoon, but this risk is especially for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
Wednesday – 7 AM Thursday: an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) for the majority of the viewing area, and a Slight Risk (level 2/5) for far southern counties to the TN/AL state line.
On Thursday, there is a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) for south and eastern areas from 7 a.m. to 12 p.m. Storms should clear our area by mid-morning Thursday.
Rain estimates
This is a lot of moisture in the atmosphere, therefore heavy rain will be the top concern. Through late Thursday, rain amounts in the 1-4 inch range, with isolated higher amounts.
A Flood Watch goes into effect at 1 AM Wednesday and last until 7 AM Thursday. After a strong front moves through KY and TN overnight into Wednesday morning, the severe threat becomes a flooding threat.
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A few scattered storms could develop during Tuesday evening. Then, severe storms are likely to develop near the Ohio River, and they could slide into our region overnight and into Wednesday morning.
CSU’s 2024 hurricane season outlook predicts above average tropical storms
On Wednesday, this will be the highest potential day for strong storms in Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky. First, a few showers & storm in the morning to early afternoon. Then, sunshine breaks through and highs in the lower to middle 80s. A significant batch of severe storms will develop in Kentucky and Arkansas by the evening and slide into Tennessee. Damaging wind gusts will be the top concern, but hail and tornadoes are possible as well.
A lot of information here, but it is important to stay Weather Alert on Tuesday and Wednesday. After a cold front arrives Thursday evening, we will catch a break in the humidity and a slight cooldown for Mother’s Day weekend. A few showers remain possible on Saturday.
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