A Sliding Share Price Has Us Looking At Sampo Oyj's (HEL:SAMPO) P/E Ratio

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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Sampo Oyj (HEL:SAMPO) share price has dived 34% in the last thirty days. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 36% in that time.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

View our latest analysis for Sampo Oyj

Does Sampo Oyj Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Sampo Oyj's P/E of 12.64 indicates some degree of optimism towards the stock. The image below shows that Sampo Oyj has a higher P/E than the average (8.8) P/E for companies in the insurance industry.

HLSE:SAMPO Price Estimation Relative to Market March 28th 2020
HLSE:SAMPO Price Estimation Relative to Market March 28th 2020

Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that Sampo Oyj shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification. Clearly the market expects growth, but it isn't guaranteed. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Companies that shrink earnings per share quickly will rapidly decrease the 'E' in the equation. Therefore, even if you pay a low multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become higher in the future. A higher P/E should indicate the stock is expensive relative to others -- and that may encourage shareholders to sell.

Sampo Oyj shrunk earnings per share by 33% over the last year. And over the longer term (5 years) earnings per share have decreased 5.8% annually. This growth rate might warrant a below average P/E ratio.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

How Does Sampo Oyj's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

Sampo Oyj has net cash of €4.3b. This is fairly high at 30% of its market capitalization. That might mean balance sheet strength is important to the business, but should also help push the P/E a bit higher than it would otherwise be.

The Bottom Line On Sampo Oyj's P/E Ratio

Sampo Oyj has a P/E of 12.6. That's below the average in the FI market, which is 15.0. Falling earnings per share are likely to be keeping potential buyers away, the relatively strong balance sheet will allow the company time to invest in growth. If it achieves that, then there's real potential that the low P/E could eventually indicate undervaluation. Given Sampo Oyj's P/E ratio has declined from 19.3 to 12.6 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who don't like to trade against momentum, that could be a warning sign, but a contrarian investor might want to take a closer look.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Sampo Oyj. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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