Sorry, millennials. You may now be an owner-majority generation — but not in Raleigh

Might be time to give some of that millennial bashing a rest.

Although it’s taken them longer than their parents, millennials are now entering the housing market in droves and have finally become an owner-majority generation, according to a RentCafe analysis.

The number of millennial owners, aged 27 to 33, has jumped nationwide by 7 million in just five years — more than any other generation, the report said. Indeed, millennial owners doubled between 2017 and 2022 in more than one-quarter of the 110 largest metros analyzed using the most recent IPUMS data.

But here’s the rub: Raleigh-Cary still hasn’t passed the threshold.

Bucking the national trend, the region’s millennials are still a renter-majority generation. Even with a 73% surge in homeownership in the last five years, reaching a peak of 101,230 millennial owners, just 45% of the people in this age group are now living in their own homes.

By contrast, the number of renting millennials in Raleigh increased even more — by 85%, with this group having more renters than any other generation, nearly 123,000.

This chart shows the percentage of renters versus owners in the Raleigh metro area.
This chart shows the percentage of renters versus owners in the Raleigh metro area.

Are millennials getting shut out?

As North Carolina remains one of the fastest-growing states, soaring home prices and higher mortgage rates are keeping many of these would-be homebuyers in the rental market, say experts.

Rising rents are also compounding the problem, said Derrick Thornton, a Realtor with Coldwell Banker Advantage out of Northeast Raleigh. Millennials have trouble saving enough for a down payment because they’re paying so much of their income in rent.

“Hopefully, first-time buyers will still have opportunities to purchase homes. But it will likely be in surrounding areas just outside of Raleigh or Durham,” he told The N&O.

Another possible reason for so many renting millennials?

The growing popularity of the “renter-by-choice” lifestyle. In Raleigh, the number of “rich” renter households — those with annual incomes over $150,000 — skyrocketed by 178% between 2015 and 2020, going from 1,877 to 5,224, a separate RentCafe study reported.

“Homeownership is not a priority for everyone, especially not for millennials and Gen Zs,” said the study’s author, Andrea Neculae.

Which generation owns the most homes in Raleigh?

Gen X (ages 43 to 58) is the largest demographic of homeowners in Raleigh, after a 48% rise in the last five years, the report said. Also, more than three-quarters of Gen Xers in Raleigh (82%) live in their own homes. On the other hand, the number of Gen X renters increased by 69% for an 18% share.

Right after Gen X, baby boomers (ages 59-77) are the second largest generation of homeowners in Raleigh, after a 19% uptick. The number of baby boomers who rent, however, declined by 15%. Consequently, the ratio of homeowners to renters is 80% to 20% for this cohort.

Gen Z, or Zoomers (ages 18-26), are now coming of age and establishing themselves in the job market, the report said. That explains the exponential growth for both owners and renters in this age group: by 102% and 148%, respectively.

The report said 29% of Gen Zers in Raleigh-Cary currently own their homes, while 71 % rent.