Supply chain disruptions felt more strongly in some states

Aug. 13—For more than two years, delays, disruptions and shortages in the supply chain have been a major economic consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Several factors have combined to create the widespread supply chain challenges the U.S. economy faces. The onset of the pandemic and subsequent waves temporarily shut down businesses or had them operating at limited capacity, while labor shortages in the logistics industry have frequently left goods sitting at ports and warehouses.

These issues created additional challenges further downstream in the supply chain. Businesses that struggled to secure supplies, parts, or other materials faced increased difficulties meeting their own production quotas.

And amid all of these struggles, demand for durable goods rose during the pandemic, further straining producers' capacity. These factors have contributed to historically high inflation, which now threatens to send the U.S. economy into recession.

Most U.S. businesses have felt the effects of the pandemic. In April 2020, the share of businesses reporting a large or moderate negative impact from COVID was 90%, and two years later, that figure has only fallen to 66%. The share of businesses reporting a large negative impact has fallen from 51% early in the pandemic to 22% now, but the percentage reporting a moderate negative impact has held steady at around 40% over time.

In some respects, the situation has worsened the longer the pandemic has gone on. Businesses today report delays and difficulties with both domestic and foreign suppliers at a higher percentage than they did in 2020. Delays from domestic suppliers are the primary challenge, affecting almost 45% of U.S. businesses.

While the effects of supply chain disruptions have been widespread, some industries have suffered more than others. Manufacturing, retail trade, construction and accommodation and food services have been hardest hit, with more than 60% of businesses in each sector reporting domestic supplier delays. The wholesale trade industry also has struggled, especially when it comes to foreign suppliers: 45% of wholesale trade businesses report delays from foreign suppliers, more than any other U.S. industry. Meanwhile, businesses that have felt less disruption include those in information- or service-based industries, which rely less on a supply of physical goods.

With these differences between industries, states are also feeling disparate effects of supply chain disruptions. Some of the most heavily impacted U.S. states include those with strong manufacturing presences, like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. More than half of all businesses in these two states report experiencing domestic supplier delays.

Missouri ranks at 22 on the list with 46.5% of businesses experiencing domestic supplier delays and 24.8% experiencing delays in shipping and deliveries to customers.

Riley Bascomb, an independent construction worker in St. Joseph, said the area has not been an exception to supply chain problems.

"We've had projects that were supposed to be done in the spring that are just getting done now because we didn't have all of the things we needed to complete it. It's been frustrating," he said.

The good news, Bascomb said, is that he's seeing projects pick up and get back on track, with businesses getting more supplies on time.

"It's not back to 100%, but the supply chain stuff has definitely been getting better than it was at the start of the year. But, you know, we'll see how winter treats us," he said.

The data used in this analysis is from the U.S. Census Bureau's Small Business Pulse Survey. To determine the states with the most supply chain disruptions, researchers at Filterbuy calculated the percentage of businesses experiencing domestic supplier delays. In the event of a tie, the state with the greater percentage of businesses experiencing delays in delivery or shipping to customers was ranked higher.

Note: all calculations reflect the percentages for small businesses (less than 500 employees). All calculations, unless otherwise stated, compute the average of all weekly survey responses from Jan. 3 through April 17 and represent the typical share of businesses experiencing the respective disruption during that period.

News-Press NOW reporter Andrew Gaug contributed to this story.

Andrew Gaug can be reached at andrew.gaug@newspressnow.com.

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