Tropical Storm Julia forms in Caribbean. Forecast calls it to strengthen into hurricane

Tropical Storm Julia has formed off Colombia and is expected to become a hurricane before making landfall over the weekend in Central America, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

Hurricane watches and warnings  have been issued for locations in the path of Julia.

Currently, winds are projected to hit 85 mph within 48 hours.

Your guide to preparing for the 2022 hurricane season in Florida

Track all active storms

Excessive rainfall forecast

An area of high pressure north of the depression is expected to keep the system moving west toward Central America, according to AccuWeather.

The next named storm of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season will be Karl.

Elsewhere, the remnants of Tropical Depression 12 dissipated over the east-central Atlantic Thursday night. The Hurricane Center issued its last advisory on the system 11 p.m. Thursday.

WeatherTiger: Inside track on Potential Tropical Cyclone 13 with 3 weeks till storm strike odds shift 

Revised seasonal forecast: Atlantic hurricane season off to slow start. But top forecasters still expect above-normal activity

WeatherTiger prediction: Since 2017, a ludicrous 101 named storms have formed. Expect more this hurricane season

Here's the latest update from the NHC as of 11 a.m. Oct. 7:

Tropical Storm Julia

  • Location: 560 miles east of Isla De Providencia, Colombia

  • Maximum wind speed: 40 mph

  • Direction:  west at 18 mph

At 11 a.m.,  the center of Tropical Storm Julia was located 560 miles east of Isla De Providencia, Colombia.

Julia is moving toward the west near 18 mph. A westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected through Sunday.

On the forecast track, the center of Julia is expected to move across the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days, passing near San Andres and Providencia Islands Saturday evening, and reaching the coast of Nicaragua Sunday morning.

After landfall, Julia or its remnants are expected to turn west-northwestward and move across Central America through Monday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph, with higher gusts.

Additional strengthening is forecast, and Julia is expected to become a hurricane with winds of 85 mph by Saturday evening before it reaches San Andres and Providencia Islands, and the coast of Nicaragua.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the center.

Forecast track for Tropical Storm Julia

Who is likely to be impacted?

Julia is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane by Saturday evening while it moves over the southwestern Caribbean Sea, and a hurricane warning is now in effect for San Andres, Providencia, and Santa Catalina Islands.

A hurricane watch is also now in effect for much of the Nicaragua coast.

Hurricane-force winds and a dangerous storm surge are expected in areas where the core of the system crosses the islands and moves onshore.

The risk of flash flooding continues today over portions of the Guajira Peninsula. The potential for life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides is expected to spread to portions of Central America this weekend.

Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared during what's expected to be an active hurricane season.

When is the Atlantic hurricane season?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

Hurricane season's ultimate peak is Sept. 10 but the season goes through Nov. 30. Credit: NOAA
Hurricane season's ultimate peak is Sept. 10 but the season goes through Nov. 30. Credit: NOAA

Although the season has gotten off to a quiet start, the peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

Weather watches and warnings issued for your area

If you can't see any local weather warnings here, you'll need to open this story in a web browser.

Tropical forecast over next five days

See the National Hurricane Center's five-day graphical tropical weather outlook below.

Excessive rainfall forecast

What's out there?

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.

What's next?

We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look at our special subscription offers here. 

This article originally appeared on Naples Daily News: Tropics watch: Tropical Storm Julia forecast to become hurricane