A system in the northern Gulf of Mexico was tagged as Invest 95L Tuesday morning. It's showing some potential for strengthening and could become a short-lived tropical depression before moving inland, according to the National Hurricane Center.
That system of low pressure is moving west-southwest toward the middle to lower Texas coast and is expected to move inland on Thursday, according to the National Weather Service in Lake Charles.
Extra moisture associated with the system will help bring a chance for showers and thunderstorms this week across southwest, south-central and central Louisiana.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic basin, the National Hurricane Center continues to monitor two other systems.
Heavy rain and gusty winds are in store for the southern Windward Islands today as Potential Tropical Cyclone Two continues to head toward the Caribbean.
The National Hurricane Center's forecast calls for the tropical wave to become a tropical storm by early Wednesday and a hurricane before reaching the coast of Central America Saturday.
Tropical storm watches and warnings have been issued for several islands.
The next named storm would be Bonnie.
"We expect the system to cross the southern Windward Islands and Trinidad and Tobago Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, possibly as a tropical storm, with maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Adam Douty said.
Farther to the east in the central Atlantic is another tropical wave also showing potential for development.
WeatherTiger prediction: Since 2017, a ludicrous 101 named storms have formed. Expect more this hurricane season
Here's the latest update from the NHC as of 8 a.m. June 28:
Details on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two
Location: 260 miles east of Trinidad; 1,945 miles southeast of West Palm Beach
Maximum wind speed: 40 mph
Direction: west at 23 mph
Next advisory: 2 p.m.
What's out there and where are they?
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two: The poorly defined disturbance was centered about 330 miles east of Trinidad and is moving to the west at 23 mph. A westward or west- northwest motion is expected through Thursday.
On the forecast track, the system will pass near or over portions of the southern Windward Islands by tonight, and move over the southern Caribbean Sea or near the northern coast of Venezuela on Wednesday and Thursday.
Invest 95L: An area of low pressure is centered over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the low have increased overnight but remain disorganized.
Tropical wave 2: A tropical wave located more than 1,000 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
How likely are they to strengthen?
Potential Tropical Cyclone 2 is forecast by NOAA to become a #hurricane in Caribbean. 5 years in satellite era (post-1965) have had June-July Caribbean hurricanes: 1966, 1996, 2003, 2005, 2021. All 5 were above-normal Atlantic hurricane seasons per NOAA definition. pic.twitter.com/DnGWoPzDme
— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) June 27, 2022
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two: Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is forecast during the next few days if the disturbance remains over water. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center.
Conditions appear conducive for development if the disturbance remains over water, and it will likely become a tropical storm near the southern Windward Islands or while moving west across the southern Caribbean Sea.
It also could become a hurricane, with winds of 75 mph, Saturday before reaching the coast of Central America.
Formation chance through 48 hours: high, 70 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days: high, 90 percent.
Invest 95L: Some additional development of this system is possible as it moves slowly west or west-southwest and approaches the coast of Texas during the next two days.
"We continue to show a low chance for development across the western Gulf of Mexico into the middle of the week," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Adam Douty said.
Light wind shear, combined with above-normal water temperatures, will contribute to a small window in which a tropical depression could try to form on Tuesday or Wednesday, Douty added.
Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 40 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days: low, 40 percent.
The area of unsettled weather in the Gulf of Mexico has been tagged as #Invest95L this morning.
Some slow development (30% chance) is possible as the disturbance drifts west toward the Texas/Mexico coastlines.
Locally heavy rain will likely be the biggest impact.
— Weather.us - Weather Forecasts For Professionals (@WeatherdotUS) June 28, 2022
Tropical wave 2: This system is forecast to interact with another tropical wave to its east over the next several days, and some gradual development is possible later this week while the overall system moves west-northwest at around 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic.
Formation chance through 48 hours: low, near 0 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days: low, 20 percent.
Who is likely to be impacted?
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two: The Potential Tropical Cyclone is expected to produce heavy rain across the southern Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of Venezuela starting tonight into Wednesday.
Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in the southern Windward Islands tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area along the northeastern coast of Venezuela and nearby islands tonight, and in Bonaire by Wednesday evening.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for:
Trinidad and Tobago
Grenada and its dependencies
Islas de Margarita, Coche and Cubagua
A tropical storm watch is in effect for:
Coast of Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana, including Islas de Margarita, Coche, and Cubagua
Invest 95L: Residents along the Texas coastline should all be on alert for the potential of a quick-forming system.
Even if a tropical system does not form, tropical downpours are likely across the Gulf Coast states this week.
"An influx of tropical moisture, streaming up from the Gulf of Mexico will be running into a stalled front across the southern U.S. These opposite forces will squeeze out the moisture in between, leading to downpours from Texas to the Florida Panhandle," said Douty.
Tropical wave 2: It's too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to the U.S. from this tropical wave.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared during what's expected to be an active hurricane season.
Weather watches and warnings issued for your area
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The next five days
See the National Hurricane Center's five-day graphical tropical weather outlook below.
Excessive rainfall forecast
What's out there?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.
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This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: NHC: Potential Tropical Cyclone 2 could become Tropical Storm Bonnie