Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Is Estimated To Be Significantly Overvalued

- By GF Value

The stock of Ultra Clean Holdings (NAS:UCTT, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $50.14 per share and the market cap of $2.2 billion, Ultra Clean Holdings stock is estimated to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Ultra Clean Holdings is shown in the chart below.


Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Is Estimated To Be Significantly Overvalued
Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Is Estimated To Be Significantly Overvalued

Because Ultra Clean Holdings is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which averaged 8.1% over the past five years.

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Investing in companies with poor financial strength has a higher risk of permanent loss of capital. Thus, it is important to carefully review the financial strength of a company before deciding whether to buy its stock. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great starting point for understanding the financial strength of a company. Ultra Clean Holdings has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.84, which is in the middle range of the companies in Semiconductors industry. GuruFocus ranks the overall financial strength of Ultra Clean Holdings at 6 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Ultra Clean Holdings is fair. This is the debt and cash of Ultra Clean Holdings over the past years:

Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Is Estimated To Be Significantly Overvalued
Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Is Estimated To Be Significantly Overvalued

Companies that have been consistently profitable over the long term offer less risk for investors who may want to purchase shares. Higher profit margins usually dictate a better investment compared to a company with lower profit margins. Ultra Clean Holdings has been profitable 8 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $1.5 billion and earnings of $2.26 a share. Its operating margin is 9.31%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Semiconductors industry. Overall, the profitability of Ultra Clean Holdings is ranked 7 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Ultra Clean Holdings over the past years:

Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Is Estimated To Be Significantly Overvalued
Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Is Estimated To Be Significantly Overvalued

Growth is probably one of the most important factors in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus' research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long-term performance of a company's stock. If a company's business is growing, the company usually creates value for its shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. Likewise, if a company's revenue and earnings are declining, the value of the company will decrease. Ultra Clean Holdings's 3-year average revenue growth rate is better than 66% of the companies in Semiconductors industry. Ultra Clean Holdings's 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 10.5%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Semiconductors industry.

Another way to evaluate a company's profitability is to compare its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it indicates that the company is creating value for shareholders. Over the past 12 months, Ultra Clean Holdings's ROIC was 14.87, while its WACC came in at 11.71. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Ultra Clean Holdings is shown below:

Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Is Estimated To Be Significantly Overvalued
Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Is Estimated To Be Significantly Overvalued

In short, the stock of Ultra Clean Holdings (NAS:UCTT, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Semiconductors industry. To learn more about Ultra Clean Holdings stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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