Virginia Coronavirus: Positive Test Rate Lowest Since Mid-March

Emily Leayman

VIRGINIA — The Virginia Department of Health reported 551 additional cases of the coronavirus Sunday, a lower increase after four consecutive days of new daily cases increasing. The latest cumulative totals are 57,994 cases, 5,840 hospitalizations, and 1,611 deaths.

The 7-day moving average of percent positive tests stood at 6.9 percent on June 17. That represents the lowest positive rate of tests since March 18, when an average of 6.1 percent of tests came back positive. The highest percent positive average had been 20.3 percent on April 20.

Current hospitalizations have dropped in June and fell below 1,000 statewide on June 13. As of Sunday, 863 patients with current or pending COVID-19 results were hospitalized, according to the Virginia Hospital & Healthcare Association. There have been 7,646 COVID-19 patients discharged from hospitals.

The number of COVID-19 patients on ventilators and in the intensive care unit remains steady. There are 243 COVID-19 patients in the ICU and 125 on ventilators as of Sunday. No hospitals have reported difficulty obtaining personal protective equipment since May 2, with the exception of two hospitals on June 10.

Get the latest updates on the new coronavirus in Virginia as they happen. Sign up for free news alerts and a newsletter in your Patch town.

Gov. Ralph Northam and state officials are still using health metrics like the percent positive rate, hospital capacity and hospitals' PPE supply to make reopening decisions. The governor announced guidelines for phase three last week but has not decided on a start date. While the governor says there is continued progress on the metrics, he and state officials are monitoring surges in other states.

According to the latest weekly update on the University of Virginia's COVID-19 model, community mitigation strategies in Virginia have prevented an estimated 951,087 confirmed cases. The report also names possible reasons for Virginia's recent drop in the infection rate: residents' infection control procedures and business procedures in the Forward Virginia reopening plan.

The model suggests cases may have already peaked if the state has better contact tracing and steady transmission even after public health restrictions are lifted. But if people return to pre-mitigation behaviors, UVA researchers believe new confirmed cases would peak at 174,907 per week during the July 4 holiday.

Here are the latest cumulative case updates for our coverage areas from Saturday to Sunday:

  • Alexandria: 2,227 cases, 231 hospitalizations, 49 deaths; increase of 10 cases
  • Arlington County: 2,418 cases, 412 hospitalizations, 126 deaths; increase of 13 cases and one hospitalization
  • Fairfax County: 13,419 cases, 1,555 hospitalizations, 435 deaths; increase of 78 cases and seven hospitalizations
  • Fairfax City: 68 cases, seven hospitalizations, six deaths; no change
  • Falls Church: 59 cases, 11 hospitalizations, seven deaths; no change
  • Loudoun County: 3,585 cases, 248 hospitalizations, 83 deaths; increase of 42 cases, 16 hospitalizations and one death
  • Manassas: 1,363 cases, 89 hospitalizations, 16 deaths; increase of 10 cases
  • Manassas Park: 410 cases, 44 hospitalizations, five deaths; increase of three cases, 16 hospitalizations removed
  • Prince William County: 6,879 cases, 629 hospitalizations, 133 deaths; increase of 72 cases, one hospitalization and two deaths
  • Fredericksburg: 227 cases, 25 hospitalizations, no deaths
  • Spotsylvania County: 902 cases, 61 hospitalizations, 20 deaths; increase of 11 cases and one hospitalization
  • Stafford County: 924 cases, 92 hospitalizations, five deaths; increase of four cases

SEE ALSO:

This article originally appeared on the McLean Patch