We're Not Very Worried About Netccentric's (ASX:NCL) Cash Burn Rate

Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, Netccentric (ASX:NCL) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 214%. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Netccentric shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for Netccentric

Does Netccentric Have A Long Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. When Netccentric last reported its balance sheet in December 2019, it had zero debt and cash worth S$3.1m. In the last year, its cash burn was S$219k. So it had a very long cash runway of many years from December 2019. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

ASX:NCL Historical Debt April 7th 2020
ASX:NCL Historical Debt April 7th 2020

How Well Is Netccentric Growing?

Happily, Netccentric is travelling in the right direction when it comes to its cash burn, which is down 81% over the last year. But it was a bit disconcerting to see operating revenue down 17% in that time. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Netccentric has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Easily Can Netccentric Raise Cash?

We are certainly impressed with the progress Netccentric has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Netccentric has a market capitalisation of S$5.0m and burnt through S$219k last year, which is 4.4% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

How Risky Is Netccentric's Cash Burn Situation?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Netccentric is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Although its falling revenue does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash. On another note, Netccentric has 4 warning signs (and 3 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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