Why all the pressure may be on Trump during the first presidential debate
With former Vice President Joe Biden maintaining a steady lead in the polls, most of the pressure for the first presidential debate on Tuesday seems to be shifting to President Trump.
During Sunday's edition of This Week on ABC, panelists Rahm Emanuel and Sarah Isgur agreed that Trump has to do more on the debate stage Tuesday since he has to "change people's minds," which is a lot harder than Biden's job of reassuring voters. Isgur did note that the Trump campaign will likely be waiting to take advantage of any potential slip up from Biden, but, generally, the former vice president has a little more breathing room than Trump.
.@whignewtons says President Trump “has to change people’s minds” during Tuesday’s presidential debate and has a “higher uphill climb” than Joe Biden. https://t.co/P6iz1jjwYE pic.twitter.com/TEO4lrlN7Y
— This Week (@ThisWeekABC) September 27, 2020
.@RahmEmanuel says the first presidential debate on Tuesday is “crucial” and Joe Biden “has to reassure because he’s ahead. He doesn’t have to persuade,” but “Donald Trump has to change the election and changing people is a lot harder.” https://t.co/P6iz1jjwYE pic.twitter.com/XTERlD0IEF
— This Week (@ThisWeekABC) September 27, 2020
Plus, Trump may have a built-in disadvantage. The New York Times' Peter Baker told NBC's Chuck Todd that incumbents have historically struggled in the opening debate because of over-confidence, noting that Barack Obama and Ronald Reagan were among the former presidents who fell into the trap. The good news for Trump is that both Reagan and Obama went on to win re-election rather easily. While it seems unlikely Trump will cruise to a victory, it does suggest that the first debate is not make or break.
TODAY: Ahead of the presidential debate, @PeterBakerNYT says "incumbent presidents don't tend to do well in their first debate." #MTP #IfItsSunday
"They don't take it seriously, they are over confident." pic.twitter.com/IKLN8muozb
— Meet the Press (@MeetThePress) September 27, 2020
More stories from theweek.com
Trump literally can't afford to lose the election
Trump avoids tax return questions as he brings yet another truck to the White House
The bigger truth revealed by Trump's taxes