Why TransUnion (NYSE:TRU) Could Be Worth Watching

Simply Wall St
·3 min read

Let's talk about the popular TransUnion (NYSE:TRU). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$92.25 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$79.25. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether TransUnion's current trading price of US$79.25 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at TransUnion’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for TransUnion

What's the opportunity in TransUnion?

TransUnion appears to be overvalued by 24% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$79.25 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of $63.67. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since TransUnion’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from TransUnion?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. TransUnion's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 47%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? TRU’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe TRU should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on TRU for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for TRU, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with TransUnion, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in TransUnion, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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