Is Xiana Mining (CVE:XIA) A Risky Investment?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Xiana Mining Inc. (CVE:XIA) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Xiana Mining

How Much Debt Does Xiana Mining Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2018, Xiana Mining had US$4.39m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$1.39m, its net debt is less, at about US$3.00m.

TSXV:XIA Historical Debt, August 23rd 2019
TSXV:XIA Historical Debt, August 23rd 2019

How Strong Is Xiana Mining's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Xiana Mining had liabilities of US$19.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$27.2m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.39m in cash and US$8.88m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$35.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$17.8m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Xiana Mining would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Xiana Mining will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Xiana Mining managed to produce its first revenue as a listed company, but given the lack of profit, shareholders will no doubt be hoping to see some strong increases.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Xiana Mining produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$5.6m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through US$4.1m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When I consider a company to be a bit risky, I think it is responsible to check out whether insiders have been reporting any share sales. Luckily, you can click here ito see our graphic depicting Xiana Mining insider transactions.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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