CBS2's Lonnie Quinn has your weather forecast for March 17 at 6 p.m.
DANA TYLER: Cloudy day for us. Cloudy all day. Temperatures a teeny-weeny bit warmer. Let's check in with Lonnie Quinn.
LONNIE QUINN: Yeah, you're right, Dana. So look, you were not warmed by the sunshine but kind of a southerly wind warmed you up about maybe 10 degrees warmer than yesterday. But still, not a great-looking St. Patrick's Day out there. You are overcast. 46 degrees, and there's that southerly component I'm talking about that bumped you up, you know, from yesterday, a day we were stuck in the 30s. 47 was the high temp, and the entire area was really in the mid 40s today. 47, three degrees colder than we should be.
Now the skies are overcast but not showing the wet weather. The wet weather is out there. Boy, let me tell you something, this is a bruising storm, a huge storm, and it's going to get worse as you get into the nighttime hours for the Deep South.
How it works out in our area-- and I'm talking tornadoes out there tonight. What's going to happen for us? The clouds sticking up overnight. So here we go. Stop it around 8:00 or 9:00 tomorrow morning. This is 8:30 in the morning. So you can see the clouds out there. The rain is just starting to make its way into the area. It becomes more widespread as you get into the afternoon.
OK, now where you see the yellow, that's a moderately heavy rain. The orange is heavy rain. And if you can see, you know, just south of that there are a couple of specks of red with some very heavy bouts of rain. We could have a chance to see some very heavy bouts of rain as well. And I will say the intensity picks up as you get into the nighttime hours. This is 11:00 PM. And again, this is showing the real heavy stuff offshore. It could push a little more to the north.
Just know what I'm watching at 11:00 PM is the snow now start to creep into our area. The precipitation is there. We know the precipitation is going to be there. Does the cold air get here in time? And we think late tomorrow night is when it starts to turn over for our northern communities.
And then watch this. It's going to continue to push to the south. Even New York City could turn over to some sleet like around 4 o'clock in the morning, and then we think even farther south getting snow, possibly all the way down towards the Jersey Shore.
Now the numbers are not going to be huge, but they're going to be out there. Take a look at what some of the studies are showing. So this is the European study, and it's putting down, you know, a couple of tenths of an inch of snow around the Jersey Shore-- even in Manhattan, right? Then you go north of the city and you're starting to find some three-inch totals, maybe a little bit more than three inches. All right, that's the European study.
The GFS is the Global Forecasting Study. This is putting down 1.5 in the city. These are the biggest numbers I can find. And a 5.8 around Newburgh, 5.7 for Poughkeepsie, 5.2 Monticello. The one thing that you notice in both those models is the trend. The farther north you go, the more snow you're going to find.
So my numbers look like this. I put New York City in a trace to an inch. That's going to be a slushy snow. North of 287 where you could find that one to three inch range. Higher-elevated spots well north, maybe three to five inches.
So for your day tomorrow it's all about the rain, not the snow. Tomorrow's your soaker. One to two inches of rain. 51 degrees the high temperature. But I'm telling you, you'll be talking more about the precipitation than the temperatures.
Friday, cold in the morning, 34 degrees. You do have some morning snow out there. And then the afternoon is drier, but it's windy. Keep in mind, the wind is going to be a story on Friday.
Saturday you kick off spring at 5:37 in the morning. It's 30 degrees. We'll get you up to 48, so kind of a chilly first day of spring. Sunday the first full day, 56, and then it's the 60s after that.
Dana, that is my seven day right there. It's all yours.
DANA TYLER: Thanks for sharing.